Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Chapecoense		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33	Watch
	1.85	2.95	4.33
	1.84	2.95	4.4	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4.6
	1.98	3.05	4.98
	1.91	2.9	4.75
	1.91	3.06	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	4.6 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
48.9%

Draw
31.1%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

29.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

23.4%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Chapecoense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paraná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chapecoense is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
20.12.20	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
16.12.20	Chapecoense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	3:2 ✺
08.12.20	Avaí - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Juventude - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
21.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
17.12.20	CRB Maceio - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
09.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
04.12.20	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	1:1
07.05.18	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1
Copa do Brasil
18.05.16	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
11.05.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.13	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	0:1
17.08.13	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:2

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