Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paris FC		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	8	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7
	1.38	4.7	7.4
	1.37	4.78	7.88	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.41	4.59	9.19	Watch
	1.38	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	4.54 ↑ (3.8)	7.7 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
67%

Draw
20.7%

Clermont
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paris FC - Clermont Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Paris FC (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris FC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 21. Marchetti V. 17. Lopez M. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 13. Cafaro M. 11. Krasso J.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 21. Salmier Y. 31. Diallo B. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 6. Keita H. 17. Diop O. 10. Saivet H. 11. Douane M. 26. Bassouamina M.
Substitutes
. Camara A. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 19. Kante M. 20. Lopez J. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G)	44. Ackra A. 22. Armougom Y. 32. Bamba K. 37. Diagouraga T. 18. Diedhiou F. . Donavin M. 1. N'Diaye M. (G)
Coaches
Gilli S.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Cafaro M. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kebbal I. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
50', Da Silva D. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Mbow M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
57', Krasso J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
64', Diop O. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
65', Keita H. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
66', Da Silva D. 🟨,
73', Gory A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
77', Douane M. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
77', Saivet H. ↓, Diagouraga T. ↑,
77', Bassouamina M. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
81', Mbow M. 🟨,
83', Cafaro M. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
83', Mbow M. ↓, Kante M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3.

Paris FC is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Paris FC is certain favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Inactive) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Clermont: Gastien J. (Red Card) M'Bahia I. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Paris FC to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
15.03.25	Laval - Paris FC	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Paris FC - Lorient	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	Annecy - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
21.02.25	Paris FC - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
28.03.25	Clermont - Amiens	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Clermont - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Guingamp - Clermont	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Clermont - Caen	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Clermont - Paris FC	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Clermont - Paris FC	1:3
French Ligue 2
20.04.21	Paris FC - Clermont	0:1
19.12.20	Clermont - Paris FC	3:2
21.02.20	Clermont - Paris FC	0:1
20.09.19	Paris FC - Clermont	0:2
26.04.19	Clermont - Paris FC	1:1

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