Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	12:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 5P
Cambodia	22:15	MyTV
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	12:15	Disney+
China	23:15	Migu
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Israel	18:15	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
Vietnam	22:15	ON Plus
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Paris FC		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.90	4.10	Watch
	1.80	3.90	4.00
	1.80	3.80	3.95	Watch
	1.84	4.00	4.52
	1.93	3.87	3.61	Watch
	1.81	3.80	4.45
	1.86	3.95	3.96	Watch
	1.80	4.10	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.92 ↑ (3.74)	4.1 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
52.2%

Draw
24.4%

Strasbourg
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Paris FC - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 5. Mbow M. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 20. Lopez M. 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 15. Koleosho L. 9. Sinayoko L.	1. Jorgensen F. (G) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 36. Oso 29. El Mourabet S. 23. Sousa D. 80. Yassine G. 10. Reyna G. 11. Nanasi S. 30. Ortega J.
Substitutes
28. De Smet T. 93. Ikone J. 25. Kore Y. 11. Krasso J. 4. Marchetti V. 23. Matondo R. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M. 8. Zabi P.	7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 31. Coulibaly K. 21. Demba P. 35. Dieme Y. 14. Essugo D. 40. Harder C. 24. Hogsberg L. 28. Noubissie T. 12. Piekutowski M. (G)
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kebbal I. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
40', Lopez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Traore H. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
59', Ortega J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
63', Sousa D. 🟨,
67', Yassine G. 🟨,
67', Reyna G. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
67', El Mourabet S. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
67', Nanasi S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
68', Pagis P. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
68', Kebbal I. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
86', Lopez M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
87', Sinayoko L. ↓, Zabi P. ↑,
87', Yassine G. ↓, Dieme Y. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Mbow M. (Own goal),
90+1', De Smet T. 🟨,
90+4', Koleosho L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paris FC holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Mbemba E. (Inactive) Otavio (Injury) Sangui N. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Paris FC: De Smet T. (Inactive).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paris FC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.06% Strasbourg: 0.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Angers - Paris FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3
French Ligue 3
30.01.15	Strasbourg - Paris FC	2:1
22.08.14	Paris FC - Strasbourg	1:1
01.03.14	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:2
13.09.13	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:0

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