Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Paris FC		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.90	4.10	Watch
	1.80	3.90	4.00
	1.80	3.80	3.95	Watch
	1.84	4.00	4.52
	1.93	3.87	3.61	Watch
	1.81	3.80	4.45
	1.86	3.95	3.96	Watch
	1.80	4.10	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.92 ↑ (3.74)	4.1 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
52.2%

Draw
24.4%

Strasbourg
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Paris FC - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 5. Mbow M. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 20. Lopez M. 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 15. Koleosho L. 9. Sinayoko L.	1. Jorgensen F. (G) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 36. Oso 29. El Mourabet S. 23. Sousa D. 80. Yassine G. 10. Reyna G. 11. Nanasi S. 30. Ortega J.
Substitutes
28. De Smet T. 93. Ikone J. 25. Kore Y. 11. Krasso J. 4. Marchetti V. 23. Matondo R. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M. 8. Zabi P.	7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 31. Coulibaly K. 21. Demba P. 35. Dieme Y. 14. Essugo D. 40. Harder C. 24. Hogsberg L. 28. Noubissie T. 12. Piekutowski M. (G)
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kebbal I. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
40', Lopez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Traore H. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
59', Ortega J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
63', Sousa D. 🟨,
67', Yassine G. 🟨,
67', Reyna G. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
67', El Mourabet S. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
67', Nanasi S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
68', Pagis P. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
68', Kebbal I. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
86', Lopez M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
87', Sinayoko L. ↓, Zabi P. ↑,
87', Yassine G. ↓, Dieme Y. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Mbow M. (Own goal),
90+1', De Smet T. 🟨,
90+4', Koleosho L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paris FC holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Mbemba E. (Inactive) Otavio (Injury) Sangui N. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Paris FC: De Smet T. (Inactive).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paris FC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Angers - Paris FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWTL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3
French Ligue 3
30.01.15	Strasbourg - Paris FC	2:1
22.08.14	Paris FC - Strasbourg	1:1
01.03.14	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:2
13.09.13	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:0

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