Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, TV5 Monde
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	ON Plus
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Lyon		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	3	Watch
	2.10	3.80	3.10
	2.15	3.6	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.84	3.12
	2.2	3.81	3.02	Watch
	2.2	3.8	3.05
	2.28	3.84	3.16	Watch
	2.13	3.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	3.77 ↓ (3.91)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
43.6%

Draw
25.3%

Rennes
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

Lyon - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Rennes will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Openda L.	30. Samba B. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 4. Cresswell C. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 26. Merlin Q. 21. Rongier V. (C) 70. Nordin A. 28. Thomasson A. 45. Camara M. 12. Mayenda E. 22. Dia B.
Substitutes
26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 11. Nakamura K. 99. Nartey N. 76. Ouedraogo M. 6. Tessmann T.	10. Blas L. 65. Do Marcolino H. 16. Lemaitre N. (G) 9. Lepaul E. 18. Nagida M. 14. Reynolds B. 24. Rouault A. 17. Szymanski S. 11. Tamari M.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Niakhate M. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
16', Merlin Q. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Athekame Z. ⚽,
60', Sulc P. 🟨,
61', Dia B. ↓, Lepaul E. ↑,
61', Nordin A. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
62', Mayenda E. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
64', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
73', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
73', Merlin Q. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
73', Frankowski P. ↓, Reynolds B. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽, Athekame Z. (A),
79', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
79', Morton T. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
79', Openda L. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
81', Rongier V. 🟨,
87', Athekame Z. 🟨,
90+2', Nartey N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

In recent outings, Lyon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rennes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rennes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lyon holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Duranville J. (Muscle Injury) Himbert R. (Inactive) Tagliafico N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:36 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 19:19 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.61% Lyon: 2.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTL
- Stade Rennes
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.09.26	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Angers - Rennes	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:2
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1
26.04.25	Lyon - Rennes	4:1
18.08.24	Rennes - Lyon	3:0
26.01.24	Lyon - Rennes	2:3
12.11.23	Rennes - Lyon	0:1
09.04.23	Lyon - Rennes	3:1

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