Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, TV5 Monde
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Lyon		Rennes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	3	Watch
	2.10	3.80	3.10
	2.15	3.6	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.84	3.12
	2.2	3.81	3.02	Watch
	2.2	3.8	3.05
	2.28	3.84	3.16	Watch
	2.13	3.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	3.77 ↓ (3.91)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyon
43.6%

Draw
25.3%

Rennes
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

Lyon - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Rennes will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 2. Bidstrup M. 23. Morton T. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 17. Openda L.	30. Samba B. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 4. Cresswell C. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 26. Merlin Q. 21. Rongier V. (C) 70. Nordin A. 28. Thomasson A. 45. Camara M. 12. Mayenda E. 22. Dia B.
Substitutes
26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 18. Merah K. 11. Nakamura K. 99. Nartey N. 76. Ouedraogo M. 6. Tessmann T.	10. Blas L. 65. Do Marcolino H. 16. Lemaitre N. (G) 9. Lepaul E. 18. Nagida M. 14. Reynolds B. 24. Rouault A. 17. Szymanski S. 11. Tamari M.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Niakhate M. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
16', Merlin Q. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Nuamah E. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Athekame Z. ⚽,
60', Sulc P. 🟨,
61', Dia B. ↓, Lepaul E. ↑,
61', Nordin A. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
62', Mayenda E. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
64', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
73', Nuamah E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
73', Merlin Q. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
73', Frankowski P. ↓, Reynolds B. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽, Athekame Z. (A),
79', Bidstrup M. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
79', Morton T. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
79', Openda L. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
81', Rongier V. 🟨,
87', Athekame Z. 🟨,
90+2', Nartey N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

In recent outings, Lyon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rennes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rennes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lyon holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Lyon: Duranville J. (Muscle Injury) Himbert R. (Inactive) Tagliafico N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:36 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 19:19 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Rennes: 3.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTL
- Stade Rennes
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.09.26	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Angers - Rennes	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:2
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1
26.04.25	Lyon - Rennes	4:1
18.08.24	Rennes - Lyon	3:0
26.01.24	Lyon - Rennes	2:3
12.11.23	Rennes - Lyon	0:1
09.04.23	Lyon - Rennes	3:1

Upcoming Matches