Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
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World	Fanatiz


	Red Star		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.54	3.52	2.17
	3.42	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.51	3.48	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.01)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
27.3%

Draw
27.6%

Paris FC
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

28%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Red Star - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 5. Escartin J. 4. Mendy B. 28. Kouagba L. 13. Doucoure F. 26. Dembi F. J. 19. Mbock H. 98. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 7. Durand D. 9. Fall A.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 27. Gaudin J. 8. Doucet L. 21. Lopez M. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J. 7. Gory A.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 30. Bonet P. (G) 11. Cisse K. 20. Durivaux D. 8. Eickmayer J. 93. El Hriti A. 97. Renel S.	12. Dicko N. 29. Hamel P. 19. Kante M. 20. Lopez J. 1. Riou R. (G) 18. Sissoko O. 6. Soumahoro A.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Hachem R. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Camara A. ⚽,
26', Kolodziejczak T. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Doucoure F. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Krasso J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Camara A. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Krasso J. ⚽, Gory A. (A),
61', Dembi F. J. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
69', Krasso J. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
69', Gory A. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
70', Mbock H. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
70', Escartin J. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
70', Fall A. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
76', Mendy B. 🟨,
78', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', Camara A. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
87', Gaudin J. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
87', Hachem R. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Paris FC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paris FC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Clermont - Red Star	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Red Star - Laval	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1 ✺
30.08.24	Guingamp - Red Star	3:4 ✺
26.08.24	Red Star - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLLWW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Paris FC - Guingamp	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Bastia - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Clermont - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.05.19	Red Star - Paris FC	0:1
21.12.18	Paris FC - Red Star	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
09.08.16	Paris FC - Red Star	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 2
04.04.16	Red Star - Paris FC	2:4
07.11.15	Paris FC - Red Star	0:1
French Ligue 3
14.02.15	Red Star - Paris FC	2:1
05.09.14	Paris FC - Red Star	1:0

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