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Current Win Probability
Parla 31.3%
Draw 29.4%
Pozuelo de Alarcón 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
28%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
26.8%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parla's performance.
Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pozuelo de Alarcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pozuelo de Alarcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Parla - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1.
Recent form of Parla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pozuelo de Alarcón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pozuelo de Alarcón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Pozuelo de Alarcón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Parla won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
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