Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Parma		Juventus

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	8.8	4.7	1.39	Watch
	9.75	4.75	1.4
	8.4	4.86	1.42	Watch
	8	4.2	1.4
	8.69	4.6	1.43
	9	4.33	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.73 ↑ (6.72)	4.56 ↑ (4.36)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
11%

Draw
21%

Juventus
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

21.8%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.1%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	5.5%	87.3%

Parma - Juventus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Juventus (2.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (45 of 52 users predict this - 86.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.26% – 95.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 18 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 17. Ondrejka J. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 7. Conceicao F. 22. McKennie W. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
7. Benedyczak A. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 75. Cardinali A. 67. Casentini G. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 61. Drobnic D. 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O.	17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 4. Gatti F. 8. Koopmeiners T. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Bremer ⚽, Conceicao F. (A),
17', Conceicao F. 🟨,
24', Bremer 🟨,
26', McKennie W. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, McKennie W. ⚽, Kalulu P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Oristanio G. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
46', Yildiz K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Cambiaso A. (Own goal),
54', 1 - 3, Bremer ⚽, David J. (A),
64', 1 - 4, David J. ⚽,
65', Conceicao F. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
65', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
66', Bremer ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
74', McKennie W. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
74', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
75', Ondrejka J. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
81', David J. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
86', Circati A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Recent performances by Parma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventus is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Parma: Elphege N. (Inactive) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury) Valenti L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Cutrone P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Atalanta - Parma	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTTWL
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Monaco - Juventus	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Juventus - Napoli	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Juventus - Cremonese	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0
23.04.25	Parma - Juventus	1:0
30.10.24	Juventus - Parma	2:2
21.04.21	Juventus - Parma	3:1
19.12.20	Parma - Juventus	0:4
19.01.20	Juventus - Parma	2:1
24.08.19	Parma - Juventus	0:1

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