Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport OTT 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	Q Football Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport OTT 3
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Parma		Genoa

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.90	2.40
	3.25	2.90	2.45
	3.00	2.95	2.50	Watch
	3.50	3.00	2.49
	3.18	2.94	2.55	Watch
	3.40	2.95	2.40
	3.37	2.97	2.46
	3.35	3.05	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.04)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	2.46 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
29%

Draw
32.2%

Genoa
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	76.5%	17.6%

Parma - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Genoa will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Parma (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Genoa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 34. Diego Carlos 37. Troilo M. 72. Drobnic D. 15. Delprato E. (C) 4. Sierro V. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 76. Lontani S. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Romero D.	1. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 34. Otoa S. 3. Ehizibue K. 32. Frendrup M. (C) 97. Sow D. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Junior Messias 8. Baldanzi T. 18. Osmajic M.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 8. Cremaschi B. 30. Daffara G. (G) 7. Diallo O. 23. Elphege N. 80. Fabbian G. 20. Frigan M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 47. Konate A. 3. Ndiaye A. 32. Ordonez C.	4. Amorim 29. Colombo L. 16. Drameh C. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Meichtry F. 2. Mitaj M. 31. Puczka D. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 99. Stolz F. (G) 25. Traore H. J. 9. Vitinha 71. Wiafe S.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Drobnic D. 🟨,
14', Otoa S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Toure E. B. (A),
44', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Romero D. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
56', Toure E. B. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
60', Ehizibue K. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
60', Otoa S. ↓, Puczka D. ↑,
67', Lontani S. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
69', Baldanzi T. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Osmajic M. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
80', 2 - 1, Almqvist P. ⚽, Elphege N. (A),
81', Diego Carlos ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
81', Sierro V. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
85', Sow D. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
85', Junior Messias ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
85', Delprato E. 🟨,
90+2', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
90+3', Troilo M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Parma is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Genoa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Genoa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Parma: Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Genoa: Havel E. (Ankle Injury) Vasquez J. (Red Card) Venturino L. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Parma: Diallo O. (Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Parma has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:20 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Parma against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
19	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Genoa: 0.06% Parma: 0.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Como - Parma	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Genoa CFC
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Genoa - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0
19.10.25	Genoa - Parma	0:0
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0
04.11.24	Parma - Genoa	0:1
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3
Italian Serie A
19.03.21	Parma - Genoa	1:2

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