Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Sampdoria		Pisa

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3	2.5
	2.95	3	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.75
	3.1	3.04	2.51	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	3.02	3.16	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.52)	3.08 ↓ (3.44)	2.53 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
32%

Draw
30.7%

Pisa
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria's form might have worsened.

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Sampdoria - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Pisa will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 14.4% – 52.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ghidotti S. (G) 5. Riccio A. 17. Meulensteen M. 72. Veroli D. 18. Venuti L. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 28. Yepes G. (C) 7. Bellemo A. 44. Ioannou N. 9. Coda M. 10. Tutino G.	47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 33. Calabresi A. 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 8. Hojholt M. 6. Marin M. (C) 3. Angori S. 11. Tramoni M. 32. Moreo S. 45. Lind A.
Substitutes
80. Benedetti L. 16. Borini F. 21. Giordano S. 14. Kasami P. 34. Leonardi S. 11. Pedrola E. 8. Ricci M. 84. Sekulov N. 33. Silvestri M. (G) 4. Vieira R. 1. Vismara P. (G) 31. Vulikic S.	28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 20. Beruatto P. 9. Bonfanti N. 74. Jevsenak Z. 22. Loria L. (G) 7. Mlakar J. 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 17. Rus A. 10. Vignato E.
Coaches
Semplici L.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Hojholt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
52', Marin M. 🟨,
55', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
58', Bonfanti G. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
66', Calabresi A. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Tramoni M. ⚽, Moreo S. (A),
71', Bellemo A. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
71', Coda M. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
76', Meulensteen M. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
82', Ioannou N. 🟨,
82', Yepes G. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
82', Tutino G. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
87', Tramoni M. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
88', Moreo S. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
90+3', Vieira R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Sampdoria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pisa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampdoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Bereszynski B. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Pisa: Leris M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Ferrari A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.12.24	Roma - Sampdoria	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Sampdoria - Spezia	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLTL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Modena - Pisa	1:0 ✺
13.12.24	Pisa - Bari	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Mantova - Pisa	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	3:0
10.02.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	2:0
25.08.23	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:2

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