Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	PTFC TV


	Partick Thistle		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.5	4.15	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.51	5.82
	1.52	4.38	5.57	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.7
	1.47	4.1	5.7	Watch
	1.51	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	4.22 ↑ (3.81)	5.52 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
61.4%

Draw
21.9%

Ayr United
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Partick Thistle - Ayr United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Partick will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. McFarlane L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 22. Loughrey C. 20. O'Reilly D. (C) 3. Reading P. 14. Crawford R. 8. Smyth O. 26. Stanway B. 7. Drozd S. 32. Watt T. 21. Fitzpatrick A.	1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 20. McBeth L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 12. Whyte O. 16. Summers B. 8. King L. 6. Lyon R. (C) 11. Taylor R. 7. Stirton O.
Substitutes
5. Ashcroft L. 1. Budinauckas L. (G) 6. Dempsey B. 25. Falconer M. 17. Ingram E. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 35. Miller J. 9. Samuel A.	3. Dick L. 34. Douglas J. 17. Hatton T. . Landers H. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 15. Murphy J. 38. Russell L. (G) 26. Warbrick M.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Naysmith G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', McBeth L. 🟨,
26', Loughrey C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Drozd S. ⚽,
44', Watret D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Whyte O. ↓, Hatton T. ↑,
65', Stirton O. ↓, Landers H. ↑,
68', Crawford R. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
68', Stanway B. ↓, Dempsey B. ↑,
73', O'Reilly D. 🟨,
73', Watt T. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
74', Holt K. 🟨,
75', McMann S. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
75', McBeth L. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
85', Holt K. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
90', Fitzpatrick A. ↓, Logan C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Partick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Partick is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Ayr: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	8	4	3	1	8:2	6	15
6	Ayr	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hibernian - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWW
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.08.26	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	3:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Ayr United - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
04.04.26	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	1:1
24.01.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:1
06.12.25	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	0:0
21.10.25	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:1
Scottish League Cup
16.08.25	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	2:0
Scottish Premier League
09.05.25	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	0:2
06.05.25	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	0:1

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