Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pathum United		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.8	1.43	Watch
	6	5	1.42	Watch
	6.56	5.12	1.45
	6.56	5.12	1.4
	6	4.75	1.35
	6.35	5	1.42	Watch
	5.8	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (4.23)	4.91 ↑ (3.94)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
15%

Draw
19%

Ulsan HD
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.1%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pathum United's form might have worsened.

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulsan HD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pathum United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulsan HD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Pathum United - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 3. Lee-Oh S. 11. Sergeyev I. 10. Dangda T. 7. Danilo Alves 6. Yooyen S. (C) 13. Kelic R. 16. Praisuwan J. 24. Stewart R. 36. Sukjitthammakul P. 23. Channgom S.	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 44. Kim Kee-Hee (C) 19. Kim Young-Gwon 13. Lee Myung-Jae 27. Lee Chung-Yong 22. Kim Min-Hyuk 16. Kim Sung-Joon 11. Um Won-Sang 9. Adam M. 17. Ludwigson G.
Substitutes
99. bin Fandi Ahmad I. 81. Choolthong W. 77. Gustavsson P. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 19. Samphaodi C. 9. Sareepim S. 33. Sawatlakhorn W. 15. Sorada A. 8. Thongkiri C. 4. Veerachart C. 5. Victor Cardozo 58. Worasut N.	26. Cho Hyun-Taek 31. Esaka A. 18. Joo Min-Kyu 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 96. Kim Ji-Hyun 23. Kim Tae-Hwan 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 36. Lee J. 10. Qazaishvili V.
Coaches
Sukkoki T.	Hong Myung-Bo

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ulsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ulsan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pathum United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pathum United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
25.11.23	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
07.11.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Pathum United	4:2 ✺
Thai League 1
29.10.23	Buriram United - Pathum United	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.10.23	Pathum United - Kawasaki Frontale	2:4 ✺
Thai League 1
20.10.23	Pathum United - Trat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.23	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
07.11.23	Johor Darul Takzim - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
29.10.23	Ulsan HD - Daegu	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.10.23	Ulsan HD - Johor Darul Takzim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Ulsan HD - Pathum United	3:1
11.07.21	Pathum United - Ulsan HD	0:2
29.06.21	Ulsan HD - Pathum United	2:0

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