Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 11

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Hinestroza Romana J. A. (Col)


	Patriotas		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	3	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.7	2.95	2.85	Watch
	2.9	2.86	3.09
	2.9	2.75	3.09
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.58	3.04	2.83	Watch
	2.49	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.23)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	2.91 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patriotas
35.3%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Pereira
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pereira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patriotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pereira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Patriotas - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 38. Bello Vivas S. E. 4. Alarcon A. 5. Rodas M. 25. De Las Salas C. 29. Ayala J. 6. Diaz J. 8. Castano C. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 30. Rivas I. 28. Mosquera C.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 21. Garces C. 24. Pestana J. 22. Giraldo N. 14. Rios J. 18. Murillo E. 11. Gil Mosquera F. A. 92. Ibarguen A. 28. Jordan J. 7. Quintero D.
Substitutes
23. Angulo Garces K. J. 17. Charris C. 9. Cordoba S. 19. Martinez C. 15. Roa S. 1. Roman S. (G) 27. Sarria E.	15. Aguilar S. 10. Cabrera Y. 9. Gomez S. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 3. Moya J. 34. Rengifo N. 26. Suarez Y.
Coaches
Rivera H.	Alvarez L.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Patriotas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pereira in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pereira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Patriotas have a series of guest games.

Recently Pereira have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
03.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
27.02.24	Envigado - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Patriotas - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Once Caldas - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
07.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla	3:3 ✺
22.02.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.07.22	Deportivo Pereira - Patriotas	2:0
30.01.22	Patriotas - Deportivo Pereira	2:3
23.10.21	Patriotas - Deportivo Pereira	1:2
12.02.21	Deportivo Pereira - Patriotas	1:2
07.11.20	Patriotas - Deportivo Pereira	1:0

Upcoming Matches