Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Marquez C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports, Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.3
	3.4	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.64	2.82	2.38
	3.54	2.82	2.34
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.45	2.95	2.29	Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.8)	2.91 ↑ (2.89)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
27.4%

Draw
32.1%

Independiente Santa Fe
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

32.1%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

31.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Patriotas - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 25. De Las Salas C. 31. Rodas M. 3. Garcia J. 15. Guerrero J. 6. Diaz J. 34. Victoria Palacios D. S. 30. Paternina C. 9. Rodriguez J. 37. Melendez A. 8. Borja C. (C)	1. Mosquera A. (G) 22. Perlaza E. 29. Millan J. 4. Ramirez D. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 80. Albornoz O. 8. Zuluaga J. 16. Torres D. 14. Torres J. 23. Mosquera H. 11. Rodallega H.
Substitutes
4. Alarcon A. 13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 17. Charris C. 14. De La Cruz Mangas J. 1. Roman S. (G) 20. Ruiz D.	33. Alvarez A. (G) 17. Ararat J. 7. Cardona J. 21. Duque J. 28. Lopez E. 3. Ortiz M. 9. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Perez D.	Peirano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Rodas M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Albornoz O. ⚽, Zuluaga J. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. (Pen),
44', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zuluaga J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
46', Perlaza E. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
51', Albornoz O. 🟨,
51', Paternina C. 🟨,
65', Albornoz O. ↓, Duque J. ↑,
78', Mosquera H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Paternina C. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
85', Diaz J. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
85', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, De La Cruz Mangas J. ↑,
87', Rodallega H. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 0.

Recent matches Patriotas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Fe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:20 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
06.10.24	Junior Barranquilla - Patriotas	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Deportivo Pereira - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Patriotas - Envigado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWLW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
10.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
03.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
26.09.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
31.03.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Patriotas	3:0
27.08.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Patriotas	2:1
28.02.22	Patriotas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
11.10.21	Patriotas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
04.02.21	Independiente Santa Fe - Patriotas	1:0
Colombian Copa
29.10.20	Independiente Santa Fe - Patriotas	1:2
22.10.20	Patriotas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:3

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