Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Ariza E. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.35	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.33	2.96	3.63
	2.28	2.87	3.59
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.28	2.94	3.49	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	2.93 ↓ (2.98)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
41.1%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Cali
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

31.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Patriotas - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 25. De Las Salas C. 5. Rodas M. 28. Garcia J. 21. Guerrero J. 4. Alarcon A. 7. Moreno S. 30. Paternina C. 9. Rodriguez J. 27. Melendez A. 19. Martinez C. (C)	22. Guruceaga G. (G) 27. Viafara F. 21. Meza F. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 20. Acosta O. 13. Mejia A. (C) 6. Angel Bernal F. S. 28. Cabezas G. 33. Kelvin Osorio 18. Cantillo J. 17. Montero F.
Substitutes
13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 16. Correa B. 6. Diaz J. 22. Londono F. 1. Roman S. (G) 20. Ruiz D.	70. Andrade A. 5. Bustamante R. 9. Colman C. 11. Estupinan A. 4. Marulanda J. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 75. Valencia J.
Coaches
Perez D.	Torres H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Cabezas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cantillo J. ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
55', Moreno S. 🟨,
56', Moreno S. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
60', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
60', Montero F. ↓, Marulanda J. ↑,
61', Estupinan A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,
67', Alarcon A. 🟥,
69', 1 - 2, Estupinan A. ⚽, Kelvin Osorio (A),
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
71', Paternina C. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
71', Martinez C. 🟨,
75', Acosta O. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
79', Mejia A. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
83', Ruiz D. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Londono F. ⚽, Melendez A. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Patriotas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
20.09.24	Deportivo Pereira - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Patriotas - Envigado	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Millonarios - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWLT
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Copa
24.09.24	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
21.09.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
17.09.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
14.09.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	4:1 ✺
07.09.24	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
17.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Patriotas	0:1
29.10.22	Deportivo Cali - Patriotas	1:0
15.05.22	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	3:0
27.10.21	Deportivo Cali - Patriotas	2:0
07.02.21	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	0:1
04.02.20	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	0:0
28.09.19	Deportivo Cali - Patriotas	3:1

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