Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
World	Fanatiz


	Junior Barranquilla		Patriotas

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.5
	1.57	4	6
	1.57	3.95	6.45
	1.59	3.77	5.92
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.57	3.92	5.77	Watch
	1.57	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	3.83 ↓ (4.2)	5.92 ↓ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Nuestra Tele

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
59.7%

Draw
24.5%

Patriotas
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

22.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

19.8%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Junior Barranquilla - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mele S. (G) 3. Herrera E. 15. Mosquera Moreno Y. 33. Zalazar N. 18. Olivera E. 8. Chara Y. 24. Cantillo V. 6. Moreno D. 23. Rodriguez S. 99. Enamorado J. 70. Bacca C.	32. Valencia J. (G) 21. Guerrero J. 5. Rodas M. 28. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 6. Diaz J. 22. Londono F. 27. Melendez A. 30. Paternina C. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 19. Borja C. (C)
Substitutes
19. Cantillo C. 88. Castrillon B. 27. Lerma J. 30. Martinez J. (G) 26. Navia J. 17. Perez M. 13. Velez Carey J. J.	13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 17. Charris C. 14. De La Cruz Mangas J. 29. Farias J. 1. Roman S. (G) 20. Ruiz D.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Perez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, De Las Salas C. (Pen),
34', Diaz J. 🟨,
45', Moreno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Cantillo V. ↓, Velez Carey J. J. ↑,
59', Enamorado J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Herrera E. ⚽,
62', Herrera E. ↓, Navia J. ↑,
69', Navia J. 🟨,
74', Paternina C. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
74', Borja C. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
81', Rodriguez S. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
90+1', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Junior won 2.

Junior is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Patriotas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Junior is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Junior won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:14 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:2 (average 1.6:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Copa
02.10.24	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.09.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	Junior awarded ✺
22.09.24	Junior Barranquilla - Rionegro Águilas	3:4 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.09.24	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WT?LL
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
30.09.24	Patriotas - Deportivo Cali	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Deportivo Pereira - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Patriotas - Envigado	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Millonarios - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
22.03.24	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
07.07.22	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
22.01.22	Junior Barranquilla - Patriotas	3:1
01.10.21	Junior Barranquilla - Patriotas	1:0
27.02.21	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
04.10.20	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
21.07.19	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	2:0

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