Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.3
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.46	2.79	3.59
	2.3	2.88	3.2
	2.31	3.04	3.38
	2.28	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.19)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
40.6%

Draw
31.9%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

31.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Geminiani L. 2. Ojeda S. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Ghiraldello J. 5. Domingo N. 8. Caceres T. 11. Novero G. 10. Valdez J. 7. Pereyra V. L. 9. Sosa A.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Padilla M. 3. Recalde M. 8. Lopez S. 5. Antonio I. 7. Romano N. 10. Castro R. 11. Esposito G. 9. Herrera W. A.
Substitutes
20. Barinaga J. 13. Bellatti S. D. N. 17. Gonzalez K. 14. Kruspzky L. 15. La Mastra M. 19. Levato M. 16. Ramos A. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 18. Russo I.	15. Barboza O. 18. Herrera H. 12. Humeler K. (G) 20. Juncos J. 16. Menendez N. 19. Nouet M. 13. Palmieri M. 14. Paniagua H. 17. Puch J.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	Sastre J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia Mendoza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Patronato will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Patronato Parana - Botafogo RJ	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.23	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Patronato Parana	0:0
23.08.15	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0
05.04.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Patronato Parana	1:0

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