Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday


	Paysandu		Tombense

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.4
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.26	2.8	3.2
	2.43	2.81	3.6
	2.25	2.7	3.4
	2.35	2.72	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)	3.43 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
40.4%

Draw
33%

Tombense
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

34.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

25.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tombense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paysandu - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paysandu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.21	Manaus - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Paysandu - Altos	1:1 ✺
11.07.21	Paysandu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
03.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
27.06.21	Floresta - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.21	Tombense - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Tombense	0:1 ✺
11.07.21	Floresta - Tombense	1:1 ✺
03.07.21	Tombense - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Manaus - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
29.05.21	Tombense - Paysandu	1:1
04.07.19	Tombense - Paysandu	0:1
06.05.19	Paysandu - Tombense	1:0

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