Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 29

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Ring
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Paços de Ferreira		Porto

	1	X	2
	12	5.25	1.25	Watch
	11	5.75	1.25
	11	5.6	1.23
	14.71	6	1.25
	13	5.5	1.24
	12.75	5.95	1.24	Watch
	12	5.8	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.35 ↑ (10.5)	5.69 ↑ (5.47)	1.25 (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
7.6%

Draw
16.6%

Porto
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.8%

17%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	9.4%	78.1%

Paços de Ferreira - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 17 (59%), project points - 22, currently - 17, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Porto has the most likely position - 2 (63%), project points - 80, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), a chance of win league (21%).

This event has quality 52, importance 46, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0.

Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto is the unquestionable favorite.

There are questionable in Paços de Ferreira: Hernani Infande (Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 15-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
15.04.23	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Paços de Ferreira - Famalicão	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Arouca - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTW
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
15.04.23	Porto - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Benfica - Porto	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Braga - Porto	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.03.23	Porto - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.11.22	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	4:0
06.03.22	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	2:4
02.10.21	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
14.03.21	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.20	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Liga Portugal
30.10.20	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	3:2
29.06.20	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	0:1

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