Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Peña Deportiva		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.2	2.24
	3.1	3.2	2.34
	3.04	3.19	2.24	Watch
	3.01	3.24	2.27
	2.95	3.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.24)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.26 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
30.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sabadell
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peña Deportiva - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Opara L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Cano A. 🟨,
57', Lolo 🟥,
87', 1 - 1, Arthur ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Peña Deportiva is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sabadell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.11.24	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Cornellà	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.11.24	Alzira - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Sabadell - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Mallorca B - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Sabadell - Elche Ilicitano	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Sabadell - Olot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:0 penalties
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.02.18	Sabadell - Peña Deportiva	1:1
01.10.17	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:1

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