Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 1

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.18	3.10	2.95
	2.08	3.20	3.36
	2.43	3.11	2.83	Watch
	2.45	3.00	2.75
	2.22	3.51	2.99	Watch
	2.00	3.15	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.03 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
41.3%

Draw
28.6%

Montevideo City Torque
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Remedi E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montevideo City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Montevideo City Torque - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Tigre - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	3:1
09.11.25	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2
17.05.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:1
Uruguay Copa
17.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3
03.07.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0
12.03.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:2

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