Match Info

A-League - Round 13

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Skinner S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.68	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.7	3.21	2.74	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.63
	2.73	3.15	2.84
	2.66	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.35)	3.09 ↓ (3.28)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
35.1%

Draw
30.5%

Auckland FC
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	27.8%	55.6%

Melbourne City - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Auckland will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 40%). Auckland (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Auckland (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Auckland (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Auckland (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Auckland (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 22. Ferreyra G. 4. Bonetig L. 16. Behich A. (C) 39. Durakovic E. 27. Trewin K. 8. Teague R. 35. Memeti M. 17. Caputo M. 15. Nabbout A.	1. Woud M. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 23. Hall D. 4. Pijnaker N. 15. De Vries F. 6. Verstraete L. 8. Gallegos L. F. 27. Rogerson L. 77. Brook L. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
Substitutes
30. Kuen A. 21. Lopane A. 20. Mazzeo B. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 19. Schreiber Z. 36. Shillington H. 41. Wong L.	22. Brimmer J. 17. Elliot C. 11. Francois M. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 7. Howieson C. 10. May G. 20. Sail O. (G)
Coaches
Vidmar A.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
24', Trewin K. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
44', Sakai H. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Brook L. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Durakovic E. ↓, Kuen A. ↑,
58', Nabbout A. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Caputo M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Rogerson L. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
71', Cosgrove S. ↓, May G. ↑,
71', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
73', Caputo M. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
73', Teague R. ↓, Lopane A. ↑,
77', Girdwood-Reich J. 🟨,
77', Behich A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Memeti M. ⚽, Behich A. (A),
90+1', De Vries F. ↓, Francois M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Melbourne City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Auckland is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.

Recently, Auckland has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Groin Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Ochsenham D. (Inactive) Rahmani K. (Inactive) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Melbourne City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55% Melbourne City: 14.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
11.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Melbourne City - Sydney	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	1:3 ✺
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLT
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
09.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Macarthur FC - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
17.01.25	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	3:0
15.12.24	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:2

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