Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Perugia		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.39	3.03	2.76
	2.59	3.12	3
	2.55	3	2.88
	2.6	2.91	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)	3.04 ↑ (2.99)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
37.1%

Draw
30.9%

Empoli
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

22.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.6%	37.2%	37.2%

Perugia - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Empoli will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 37.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 22.8% – 51.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.02.20	Frosinone - Perugia	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
02.02.20	Juve Stabia - Perugia	1:2 ✺
27.01.20	Perugia - Livorno	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Chievo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
16.02.20	Empoli - Pisa	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Cittadella - Empoli	1:2 ✺
01.02.20	Empoli - Crotone	3:1 ✺
24.01.20	Empoli - Chievo	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Juve Stabia - Empoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.09.19	Empoli - Perugia	3:0
Club Friendly
12.01.19	Empoli - Perugia	1:0
Italian Serie B
18.05.18	Empoli - Perugia	2:1
28.12.17	Perugia - Empoli	2:4

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