Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.98	3.35	Watch
	2.27	3.07	3.76
	2.17	3.19	3.46	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.28	2.98	3.41	Watch
	2.25	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.45)	3 ↑ (2.97)	3.5 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
42%

Draw
31.3%

Empoli
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Juve Stabia - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Empoli (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juve Stabia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 3 - 60%). Empoli (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Confente A. (G) 6. Bellich M. 33. Giorgini A. 19. Stabile G. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 37. Maistro F. 27. Candellone L. (C)	21. Fulignati A. (G) 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 14. Yepes G. 27. Moruzzi B. 11. Shpendi S. 70. Saporiti E. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 76. Mannini M. 10. Pierobon C. 3. Reale F. 4. Ruggero M. 13. Varnier M. 45. Zuccon F.	8. Belardinelli L. 99. Bianchi F. 79. Carboni F. 15. Ceesay J. 18. Ghion A. 32. Haas N. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 90. Konate I. 9. Pellegri P. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B.
Coaches
Abate I.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Giorgini A. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
28', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
40', Fulignati A. 🟨,
40', Correia O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
57', Nasti M. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
59', Stabile G. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
60', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
60', Lovato M. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Carissoni L. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
67', Mosti N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
67', Maistro F. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
72', Shpendi S. 🟨,
74', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
77', Leone G. 🟨,
82', Leone G. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,
82', Cacciamani A. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
90', Giorgini A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juve Stabia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Burnete R. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Varnier M. (Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Curto M. (Thigh Injury) Ebuehi T. (Chest Injury) Ignacchiti L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
04.12.25	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.11.25	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
07.12.25	Empoli - Palermo	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Empoli - Bari	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Avellino - Empoli	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Empoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Entella - Empoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.01.20	Juve Stabia - Empoli	1:0
25.08.19	Empoli - Juve Stabia	2:1
29.03.14	Empoli - Juve Stabia	2:1
26.10.13	Juve Stabia - Empoli	0:2
16.04.13	Empoli - Juve Stabia	5:0
24.11.12	Juve Stabia - Empoli	1:2

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