Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+


	Perugia		Milan Futuro

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.18	3.86
	2.02	3.24	3.84	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.28	3.67	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)	3.2 ↑ (3.12)	3.71 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Milan Futuro
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Milan Futuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Perugia - Milan Futuro Predictions

Users Predictions: Perugia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 2. Viti M. 5. Angella G. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 16. Bartolomei P. 24. Torrasi E. 18. Di Maggio L. 9. Montevago D. 11. Seghetti A.	35. Raveyre N. (G) 19. Magni V. 33. Zukic D. 15. Coubis A. 4. Bartesaghi D. 18. Zeroli K. 6. Malaspina M. 8. Alesi G. 10. Liberali M. 17. Fall M. 7. Longo S.
Substitutes
33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 7. Bacchin L. 4. Leo D. 23. Lisi F. 30. Marconi G. 10. Matos 19. Palsson A. 67. Plaia M. 73. Polizzi M. 20. Ricci F. 91. Souare M. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 45. Sylla Y. 12. Yimga D. R.	30. Bonomi A. 14. D'Alessio L. 13. Dutu M. 5. Hodzic D. 12. Mastrantonio D. (G) 1. Nava L. (G) 29. Omoregbe B. 21. Sandri M. 99. Scotti F. 55. Vos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Viti M. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Alesi G. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Zeroli K. ⚽,
39', Torrasi E. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
39', Viti M. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Coubis A. 🟨,
49', Longo S. 🟨,
52', Alesi G. ↓, Vos S. ↑,
52', Magni V. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
67', Seghetti A. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
68', Liberali M. ↓, Hodzic D. ↑,
68', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
84', Di Maggio L. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
84', Giraudo F. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
88', Montevago D. 🟨,
90+2', Polizzi M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan U23 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Milan U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Perugia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.24	Ascoli - Perugia	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Perugia - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Perugia - Lucchese	4:0 ✺
30.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:0 ✺
26.09.24	Perugia - Rimini	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTL
- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
20.10.24	Milan Futuro - Legnago Salus	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Milan Futuro - Pianese	0:1 ✺
30.09.24	Lucchese - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Milan Futuro - SPAL	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Rimini - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL

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