The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 35.1%
Draw 31.4%
Virtus Entella 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
30.5%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
32.1%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Perugia - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. (C) 13. Amoran P. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 24. Torrasi E. 20. Ricci F. 11. Seghetti A. 23. Lisi F. 9. Montevago D.
99. Siaulys O. (G) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 23. Parodi L. (C) 70. Bariti D. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 21. Lipani J. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
33. Agosti L. 22. Albertoni M. (G) 16. Bartolomei P. 17. Cisco A. 30. Marconi G. 10. Matos 19. Palsson A. 73. Polizzi M. 91. Souare M. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 2. Viti M. 12. Yimga D. R.
10. Casarotto M. 14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 19. Piredda M. 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 32. Zappella D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Amoran P. 🟨,
27', Giraudo F. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Di Mario S. ⚽,
37', Ricci F. 🟨,
45+2', Giunti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ricci F. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
46', Giunti G. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
48', Castelli D. 🟨,
61', Lisi F. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
61', Montevago D. 🟨,
72', Siaulys O. 🟨,
73', Bariti D. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
73', Di Noia G. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
79', Amoran P. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
86', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
86', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
88', Cisco A. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
90+1', Lipani J. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
90+3', Casarotto M. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 4.
Two teams are playing changeable.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Perugia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).
Italy
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Gemello L. (G) 
Amoran P. 
Siaulys O. (G) 
Guiu B. 
Agosti L. 
Matos 
Palsson A. 
Souare M. 
Yimga D. R. 
Ndrecka A. 
Siatounis A. 
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