Match Info

Date: 27 July 2020, Monday


	Perugia		Trapani

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.5
	2.11	3.37	3.72
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	2.11	3.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	3.62 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
45.7%

Draw
28.4%

Trapani
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trapani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.3%	36.2%	15.5%

Perugia - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 28 - 48.3%). Trapani will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 36.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 35.4% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Virtus Entella - Perugia	0:2 ✺
17.07.20	Perugia - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
13.07.20	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	2:1 ✺
10.07.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:2 ✺
03.07.20	Perugia - Pordenone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLTL
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Trapani - Pescara	1:0 ✺
17.07.20	Pisa - Trapani	3:2 ✺
13.07.20	Trapani - Benevento	2:0 ✺
10.07.20	Chievo - Trapani	1:1 ✺
03.07.20	Trapani - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.19	Trapani - Perugia	2:2
08.04.17	Trapani - Perugia	3:0
13.11.16	Perugia - Trapani	1:1
22.02.16	Perugia - Trapani	0:2
05.10.15	Trapani - Perugia	0:0
02.05.15	Perugia - Trapani	1:0
12.12.14	Trapani - Perugia	2:2

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