Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Peterborough United		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.66
	5	4.1	1.65
	4.9	4	1.7
	4.7	3.8	1.69
	5.06	4.03	1.71
	5	3.7	1.66
	5.15	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.13)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
19.1%

Draw
24.3%

Bournemouth
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

21.9%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bournemouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.6%	9.6%	80.8%

Peterborough United - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (18.76%), has project points - 45, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 1 (21.92%), has project points - 85, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Peterborough is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bournemouth is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Bournemouth is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League Championship
24.09.21	Coventry City - Peterborough United	3:0 ✺
18.09.21	Peterborough United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
14.09.21	Reading - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Sheffield United - Peterborough United	6:2 ✺
28.08.21	Peterborough United - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
25.09.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Cardiff City - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
14.09.21	Bournemouth - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
11.09.21	Bournemouth - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	Hull City - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWT

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