Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Bournemouth		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.8	3.6	4.6
	1.8	3.65	4.75
	1.8	3.45	4.5
	1.85	3.6	4.7
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.87	3.54	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	4.58 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
52.4%

Draw
26.8%

Barnsley
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Barnsley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bournemouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	3.2%	16.1%

Bournemouth - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (13.88%), has project points - 79, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 13 (5.54%), has project points - 63, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Bournemouth have a series of guest games.

In this match Bournemouth is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
28.08.21	Hull City - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.08.21	Norwich City - Bournemouth	6:0 ✺
English League Championship
21.08.21	Bournemouth - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
18.08.21	Birmingham City - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTWW
- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
28.08.21	Barnsley - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Queens Park Rangers - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
17.08.21	Barnsley - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Barnsley - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.03.21	Bournemouth - Barnsley	2:3
04.12.20	Barnsley - Bournemouth	0:4
22.03.14	Barnsley - Bournemouth	0:1
17.09.13	Bournemouth - Barnsley	1:0

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