Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bournemouth		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.75
	1.49	4.75	5.75
	1.5	5	6.1	Watch
	1.52	5	5.99
	1.51	4.97	5.99
	1.5	4.8	5.5
	1.53	5.08	6.05	Watch
	1.52	4.75	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	4.92 ↑ (4.23)	5.9 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
64%

Draw
19.6%

Luton Town
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	9.2%	8%

Bournemouth - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (135 of 163 users predict this - 82.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.03% – 88.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neto (C) 15. Smith A. 27. Zabarnyi I. 25. Senesi M. 3. Kerkez M. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 24. Semenyo A. 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Solanke D.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 29. Bell A. 12. Kabore I. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 30. Townsend A. 19. Brown J. 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
29. Billing P. 7. Brooks D. 6. Mepham C. 21. Moore K. 11. Ouattara Da. 8. Rothwell J. 14. Scott A. 17. Sinisterra L. 42. Travers M. (G)	5. Andersen M. 14. Chong T. 18. Clark J. 26. Giles R. 23. Krul T. (G) 9. Morris C. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Ogbene C. 2. Osho G.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Edwards R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Bournemouth in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bournemouth is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Aarons M. (Thigh Injury) Adams T. (Thigh Injury) Fredericks R. (Calf Injury) Kelly L. (Thigh Injury) Marcondes E. (Ankle Injury) Randolph D. (Illness) Scott A. (Knee Injury) Traore H. J. (Illness)

There will not play in Luton: Burke R. (Injury) Nakamba M. (Yellow Cards) Potts D. (Ankle Injury) Woodrow C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Osho G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Bournemouth to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
09.03.24	Bournemouth - Sheffield United	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.02.24	Bournemouth - Leicester City	0:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
24.02.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLT
- Luton Town
English Premier League
09.03.24	Crystal Palace - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Luton Town - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester City	2:6 ✺
English Premier League
21.02.24	Liverpool - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Luton Town - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.01.22	Luton Town - Bournemouth	3:2
25.09.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	2:1
16.01.21	Bournemouth - Luton Town	0:1
19.12.20	Luton Town - Bournemouth	0:0
English FA Cup
04.01.20	Bournemouth - Luton Town	4:0

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