The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 39.5%
Draw 29.1%
Bristol City 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
28.7%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
21.3%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Bristol City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 10).
Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (19.77%), has project points - 45, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bristol City has the most likely position - 21 (7.4%), has project points - 53, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Peterborough is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bristol City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.