Match Info

Championship - Round 42

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	V Sport Fotbool
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Queens Park Rangers		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3	Watch
	2.33	3.36	3.07	Watch
	2.38	3.46	3.11
	2.28	3.43	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.39	3.43	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	3.05 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
40.8%

Draw
28.1%

Bristol City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	29.4%	23.5%

Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 37. Edwards R. (C) 6. Clarke-Salter J. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 21. Morgan K. 40. Varane J. 11. Smyth P. 26. Kolli R. 22. Kone R.	23. Vitek R. (G) 12. Knight J. (C) 38. Eile N. 21. Neto Borges 3. Pring C. 40. Morsy S. 4. Randell A. 17. Sykes M. 10. Twine S. 6. Bird M. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
2. Adamson K. 23. Bennie D. 16. Burrell R. 5. Cook S. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 15. Hayden I. 17. Poku K. 52. Scarlett L.	30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 11. Burgzorg D. 44. Earthy G. 14. Horvat T. 2. McCrorie R. 24. Naylor S. 19. Tanner G. 32. Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Stephan J.	Hodgson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Varane J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
66', Eile N. 🟨,
68', Kolli R. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
69', Kone R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
75', Bennie D. 🟨,
75', Morgan K. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
76', Riis E. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
76', Sykes M. ↓, McCrorie R. ↑,
83', Bird M. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
85', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
88', Twine S. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
89', Burgzorg D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.

QPR is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bristol City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

QPR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in QPR: Burrell R. (Hamstring Injury) Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Dembele K. (Knee Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Madsen N. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Ankle Injury) Dickie R. (Hamstring Injury) McCrorie R. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Tanner G. (Ankle Injury) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Obikwu J. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

QPR: 3.11% Bristol City: 2.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Bristol City - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
06.04.26	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Watford	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
14.03.26	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
06.04.26	Bristol City - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Middlesbrough - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Leicester City - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.10.25	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
12.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	1:1
14.12.24	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:1
17.02.24	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
11.11.23	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	0:0
08.05.23	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	0:2
01.10.22	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2

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