The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millwall 39.2%
Draw 29.1%
Bristol City 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.2%
29.3%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
28.6%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Millwall - Bristol City Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 4. Crama T. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 14. Doughty A. 8. Mitchell B. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 10. Neghli C. 22. Emakhu A. 9. Ivanovic M.
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 3. Pring C. 5. Atkinson R. 4. Randell A. 12. Knight J. (C) 2. McCrorie R. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 30. Armstrong S.
Substitutes
7. Ballo T. 13. Benda S. (G) 23. Bryan J. 45. Harding W. 47. Howland J. 17. Langstaff M. 18. Leonard R. 28. Matthews A. 2. McNamara D.
7. Hirakawa Y. 13. Lumley J. (G) 21. Neto Borges 29. Pecover L. 18. Riis E. 24. Roberts H. 26. Stokes J. 19. Tanner G. 25. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Neil A.
Struber G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
23', Doughty A. 🟨,
38', Sturge Z. 🟨,
41', Crama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mitchell B. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, McCrorie R. (A),
55', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
55', Emakhu A. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
66', Armstrong S. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
66', Atkinson R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
73', Doughty A. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
73', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Langstaff M. ⚽,
83', Ballo T. 🟨,
87', Neto Borges 🟨,
88', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
Cundle L.
(Shoulder Injury)
De Norre C.
(Calf Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Inactive)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazou-Sacko D.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Sykes M.
(Hip Injury)
Vitek R.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Bristol City - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.