Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Peterborough United		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.3
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.27	3.25	3
	2.37	3.41	3.21
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.38	3.32	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.01)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	3.17 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
41.6%

Draw
28.5%

Crewe Alexandra
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

18.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crewe Alexandra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs) and 9).

Peterborough has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Crewe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Peterborough will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English EFL Trophy
02.02.21	Tranmere Rovers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English League One
30.01.21	Shrewsbury Town - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
26.01.21	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Ipswich Town - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
19.01.21	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
02.02.21	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
30.01.21	Crewe Alexandra - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
26.01.21	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
23.01.21	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
19.01.21	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.11.20	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	2:0
02.04.16	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
21.11.15	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	1:5
14.04.15	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
21.10.14	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	1:0
08.03.14	Peterborough United - Crewe Alexandra	4:2
07.09.13	Crewe Alexandra - Peterborough United	2:2

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