Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.5
	6.75	4	1.49
	7	4.2	1.5
	6.8	4.1	1.46
	7.25	4.34	1.49
	7	4	1.47
	7.4	4.4	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.03 ↑ (4.9)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
13.5%

Draw
22.6%

Ipswich Town
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.8%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

24.7%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crewe Alexandra - Ipswich Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (98.83%), has project points - 30, has currently - 28, was already of relegated.

Ipswich has the most likely position - 11 (48.09%), has project points - 69, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 11, very small importance 0, very small match rating 6. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Crewe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ipswich is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
19.04.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Ipswich Town
English League One
19.04.22	Ipswich Town - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
16.04.22	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Ipswich Town - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.11.21	Ipswich Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
30.01.21	Crewe Alexandra - Ipswich Town	1:1
31.10.20	Ipswich Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:0

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