The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 43.2%
Draw 25.8%
Notts County 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
25.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
25.2%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Peterborough United - Notts County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Postponed due to international match.
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - League Two and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Peterborough may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Peterborough is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Garbett M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Khela B.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Notts County: Acquah E.
(Inactive)
Campbell D.
(Inactive)
Enoru B.
(Inactive)
Macari L.
(Inactive)
Platt M.
(Inactive)
Sanders M. H.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:14 (averaging 2.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Notts County
11
2
5
4
11:14
-3
11
21
Peterborough
12
2
4
6
11:21
-10
10
Outrights of English League One for now
Peterborough: 0.47% Notts County: 0.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough United - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.04%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Notts County - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.