The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greenock Morton 16.7%
Draw 23.3%
St. Johnstone 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
24.5%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
23.9%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Johnson M. (G) 20. Comrie A. 25. Owens F. 6. Moore K. 3. Delaney Z. 7. Moffat O. 27. Wilson I. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 17. MacPherson C. 22. Shaw N. 18. Garrity M.
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 15. Baird J. 3. Diabate C. 14. Foulds M. 7. Holt J. (C) 42. McAlear R. 11. Stanton S. 18. Paton R. 24. McPake J. 17. Lloyd L.
Substitutes
35. Black D. 11. Crawford A. 23. Longridge J. 24. Lyall A. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 28. Murphy L. 12. Taylor K.
27. Agyeman A. 35. Forrester A. 21. Fotheringham K. 9. Fowler J. 10. Gullan J. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 2. Tumilty R.
Coaches
Murray I.
Valakari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Paton R. ↓, Gullan J. ↑,
61', Lloyd L. ↓, Fowler J. ↑,
61', Holt J. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
66', Gillespie G. 🟨,
70', Gullan J. 🟨,
75', Shaw N. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
77', Owens F. 🟨,
78', McPake J. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, McAlear R. ⚽,
85', Moore K. ↓, Longridge J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Diabate C. (A),
90+4', Wilson I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, St. Johnstone is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:23. (average 0.4:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now