Match Info

Date: 17 May 2022, Tuesday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.6
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.23	3.1	3.55
	2.24	2.95	3.4
	2.31	3.01	3.71
	2.1	3	3.5	Watch
	2.27	3.06	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.44)	3 ↓ (3.13)	3.51 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
41.9%

Draw
31.3%

Cerro Porteño
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 8 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Peñarol have a series of guest games.

Peñarol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.22	Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.22	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
11.05.22	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Colón - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0
Copa Bandes
16.01.16	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Porteño	1:0

Upcoming Matches