The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 69.3%
Draw 20.1%
Rentistas 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.3%
19.6%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.2%
19.1%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Peñarol is indisputable favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.