Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)


	Rentistas		Danubio

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.8	2.1	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.05	1.95
	3.75	2.9	2.06
	4.19	3	2.17
	3.9	2.7	2.1
	4.25	2.89	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.71)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
23.5%

Draw
31.8%

Danubio
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

31.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

30.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Rentistas - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rentistas will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Danubio will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 3.

Rentistas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Danubio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Danubio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Danubio to win the game is with odds 2.03.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.08.22	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
30.07.22	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:4 ✺
26.07.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.08.22	Danubio - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Danubio - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
25.07.22	Cerrito - Danubio	0:1 ✺
21.07.22	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.02.22	Danubio - Rentistas	0:1
28.03.21	Rentistas - Danubio	1:0
11.10.20	Danubio - Rentistas	1:1
29.04.16	Danubio - Rentistas	1:2
24.10.15	Rentistas - Danubio	0:2
28.03.15	Rentistas - Danubio	1:0
21.09.14	Danubio - Rentistas	0:3

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