Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Peñarol de Montevideo		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.05	2.08
	4.61	2.87	1.96	Watch
	3.52	3.04	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.74)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.04 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
24.2%

Draw
30.4%

River Plate
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 50%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Britos S. (G) 25. Gonzalez M. 17. Gularte E. 6. Ferreira L. 15. Olivera M. (C) 21. Jesus Trindade 5. Remedi E. 30. Muhlethaler S. 10. Fernandez L. 32. Umpierrez L. 11. Hernandez A.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 13. Rivero L. 18. Vina M. 4. Moreno A. 15. Fausto Vera 22. Castano K. 10. Quintero J. (C) 19. Driussi S. 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
28. Alegre I. 24. Alvez R. 19. Arezo M. 9. Batista F. 20. Daguer J. 13. Darias E. 12. Diaz L. (G) 80. Gonzalez F. 26. Madruga A. 4. Rodriguez K. 23. Togni G.	23. Galarza M. 20. Galvan T. 36. Gimenez U. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 31. Gonzalez F. 42. Jaroszewicz F. (G) 39. Lencina S. 5. Portillo J. 32. Ruberto A. 7. Salas M. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Hernandez A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
19', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
45+1', Remedi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Driussi S. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
46', Ferreira L. ↓, Madruga A. ↑,
46', Muhlethaler S. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
62', Colidio F. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
62', Remedi E. ↓, Alegre I. ↑,
63', Batista F. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
63', Olivera M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Moreno A. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
63', Quintero J. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
63', Castano K. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
73', Fernandez L. ↓, Daguer J. ↑,
74', Jesus Trindade ↓, Darias E. ↑,
80', Fausto Vera 🟨,
83', Vina M. 🟨,
87', Vina M. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
90', Salas M. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.25	Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ET ✺
23.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ET ✺
09.11.25	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW
- River Plate
Serie Rio de la Plata
11.01.26	River Plate - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.25	Racing - River Plate	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Boca Juniors - River Plate	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.05.12	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate	1:0

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