Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+


	Philadelphia Union		Club América

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.92	3.05	2.35
	3.12	3.13	2.43
	2.85	3.14	2.5
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.26	3.35	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.38)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	2.39 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
31.1%

Draw
29.7%

Club América
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union's form might have worsened.

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club América's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	58.3%	41.7%

Philadelphia Union - Club América Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - América (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - América (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - América (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Philadelphia (2.18) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 18.2%). América (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Rick A. (G) 26. Harriel N. (C) 2. Martinez G. 29. Makhanya O. 20. Ndinga P. 6. Sullivan C. 4. Lukic J. 8. Bueno J. 28. Anello A. 10. Iloski M. 23. Alladoh E.	1. Malagon L. (C) 18. Mejia A. 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 26. Borja C. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 28. Sanchez E. 10. Zendejas A. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 33. Salas P.
Substitutes
11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 18. Blake A. (G) 9. Damiani B. 51. Jakupovic M. 21. Jean Jacques D. 37. Korzeniowski S. 31. Marks G. (G) 14. Rafanello J. 5. Sery Larsen J. 19. Vassilev I. 39. Westfield F.	5. Alvarez K. 14. Araujo N. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 6. dos Santos J. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 45. Lima 21. Tapia F. (G) 32. Vazquez M. 19. Zuniga J.
Coaches
Carnell B.	Jardine A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Martinez G. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
42', Malagon L. ↓, Cota R. ↑,
44', Makhanya O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sullivan C. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,
46', Alladoh E. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
47', Anello A. 🟨,
63', Martinez G. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
63', Anello A. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
67', Raphael Veiga ↓, Lima ↑,
67', Zendejas A. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
80', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
80', Salas P. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
81', Ndinga P. ↓, Sery Larsen J. ↑,
87', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
07.03.26	Philadelphia Union - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Philadelphia Union - New York City	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.02.26	Philadelphia Union - Defence Force	7:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	DC United - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.26	Defence Force - Philadelphia Union	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Querétaro - Club América	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Club América - Juárez	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Club América - Tigres UANL	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Puebla - Club América	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.09.21	Philadelphia Union - Club América	0:2
12.08.21	Club América - Philadelphia Union	2:0

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