Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Radomiak Radom		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2.15	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.31	3.69	3.07
	2.60	3.32	2.65	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.16	3.55	3.16	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)	3.53 ↓ (3.75)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
43.8%

Draw
26.7%

Termalica Nieciecza
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 5. Blasco J. 16. Cichocki M. 26. Dieguez A. 28. Kaput M. 77. Donis C. 13. Grzesik J. 27. Wolski R. (C) 7. Lopes V. 25. Maurides	99. Mleczko M. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. (C) 77. Putivtsev A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 23. Mini 13. Kubica K. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 6. Wolski M. 9. Jimenez J. 7. Fassbender M.
Substitutes
10. Alves R. 21. Balde E. 2. Camara I. 29. Depu 8. Golubickas P. 99. Guilherme 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 74. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 15. Tapsoba A.	17. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. 1. Chovan A. (G) 35. Deisadze D. 26. Jakubik W. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 86. Strzalek I. 55. Thiago Dombroski 53. Trubeha A.
Coaches
Henriques J.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Jimenez J. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Maurides ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
37', Dieguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
55', Mini ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
55', Putivtsev A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
69', Zie Ouattara ↓, Balde E. ↑,
73', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
75', Lopes V. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
75', Donis C. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
80', Jimenez J. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
80', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
84', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
84', Kaput M. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
85', Trubeha A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Radomiak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Radomiak: Capita (Injury)

There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWTW
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
08.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Cracovia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.03.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.04.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	1:1
02.10.21	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
Polish Division 1
12.05.21	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
04.10.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	3:2
15.07.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	1:1
26.10.19	Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0

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