Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5


	Piast Gliwice		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.6	6.5
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.52	7.13
	1.43	4.76	7.49
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.42	4.65	6.87	Watch
	1.41	4.45	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)	4.62 ↑ (3.85)	6.76 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
65.9%

Draw
20.2%

ŁKS Łódź
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ŁKS Łódź might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	4.5%	13.6%

Piast Gliwice - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: Piast Gliwice will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 77. Pyrka A. 2. Mosor A. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 22. Mokwa T. 16. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 19. Ameyaw M. 30. Szczepanski M. 7. Felix J. 10. Wilczek K.	1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 4. Mammadov R. 2. Gulen L. 37. Glowacki P. 14. Mokrzycki M. 9. Tejan K. 16. Dani Ramirez (C) 11. Hoti E. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 20. Janczukowicz P.
Substitutes
6. Chrapek M. 24. Hateley T. 14. Holubek J. 11. Kadzior D. 96. Kostadinov T. 44. Krykun S. 25. Liszewski P. 3. Miguelito 33. Szymanski K. (G)	99. Arndt D. (G) 6. Ceijas T. 18. Durmisi R. 21. Juric S. 22. Labedzki J. 24. Louveau A. 10. Pirulo 26. Szeliga B. 3. Tutyskinas A.
Coaches
Vukovic A.	Matysiak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Dziczek P. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
59', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
68', Glowacki P. ↓, Durmisi R. ↑,
68', Hoti E. ↓, Pirulo ↑,
69', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Wilczek K. ⚽,
74', Wilczek K. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
74', Szczepanski M. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
74', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Kostadinov T. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Felix J. ⚽, Kostadinov T. (A),
80', Dziczek P. ↓, Hateley T. ↑,
84', Pyrka A. ↓, Liszewski P. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Felix J. ⚽, Krykun S. (A),
90', Dani Ramirez ↓, Ceijas T. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

ŁKS is Relegated to Division 1

Piast is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ŁKS is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Piast is certain favorite.

There will not play in Piast: Mucha S. (Injury) Piasecki F. (Injury)

There are questionable in ŁKS: Flis M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piast won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Piast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.05.24	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWL
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.24	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Górnik Zabrze - ŁKS Łódź	4:1 ✺
21.04.24	ŁKS Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Cracovia - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	ŁKS Łódź - Piast Gliwice	3:3
15.12.19	Piast Gliwice - ŁKS Łódź	2:1
11.08.19	ŁKS Łódź - Piast Gliwice	0:1

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