Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3


	ŁKS Łódź		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.73	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.71
	4.33	4	1.72	Watch
	4.55	4.15	1.75
	4.42	4.09	1.75
	4.33	3.9	1.65
	4.34	4.01	1.73	Watch
	4.25	3.85	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (4.9)	3.99 ↓ (4)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
21.6%

Draw
23.6%

Lech Poznań
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

22.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

ŁKS Łódź - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Lech will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ŁKS: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 4. Mammadov R. 2. Gulen L. 18. Durmisi R. 14. Mokrzycki M. 9. Tejan K. 16. Dani Ramirez (C) 11. Hoti E. 70. Balic H. 20. Janczukowicz P.	41. Mrozek B. (G) 44. Czerwinski A. 18. Salamon B. 16. Milic A. 5. Andersson E. 11. Velde K. 22. Murawski R. 10. Marchwinski F. 17. Szymczak F. 7. Sousa A. 9. Ishak M. (C)
Substitutes
6. Ceijas T. 37. Glowacki P. 21. Juric S. 25. Kolba M. (G) 30. Koprowski O. 24. Louveau A. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 10. Pirulo 26. Szeliga B.	50. Ba Loua A. 35. Bednarek F. (G) 23. Blazic M. 3. Douglas B. 6. Karlstrom J. 30. Kvekveskiri N. 2. Pereira J.
Coaches
Matysiak M.	Rumak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Sousa A. 🟨,
19', Durmisi R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Andersson E. (A),
45+2', Dani Ramirez ↓, Ceijas T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Sousa A. ↓, Karlstrom J. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Marchwinski F. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Tejan K. (Pen),
60', Salamon B. 🟨,
64', Ceijas T. 🟨,
67', Ceijas T. 🟨,
70', Czerwinski A. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
74', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Pirulo ↑,
83', Balic H. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
83', Hoti E. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
84', Pirulo 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Juric S. ⚽, Tejan K. (A),
90+1', 2 - 3, Marchwinski F. ⚽,
90+4', Velde K. ↓, Douglas B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches ŁKS is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.04.24	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Cracovia - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - ŁKS Łódź	6:0 ✺
17.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTLTW
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Stal Mielec - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Lech Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.03.24	Lech Poznań - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.23	Lech Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	3:1
07.12.19	Lech Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	2:0
03.08.19	ŁKS Łódź - Lech Poznań	1:2
Polish Cup
25.09.18	ŁKS Łódź - Lech Poznań	0:1 ET

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