Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Pietà Hotspurs		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.47
	4.6	3.65	1.52
	5.4	4.1	1.47
	5.93	4.13	1.5
	5	4.33	1.44
	5.55	4.2	1.47
	5.6	4.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (3.95)	4.1 ↑ (3.65)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
16.9%

Draw
22%

Marsaxlokk
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

24.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

24.1%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pietà Hotspurs's form might have worsened.

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pietà Hotspurs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 8).

Pietà Hotspurs is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marsaxlokk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marsaxlokk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pietà Hotspurs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Pietà Hotspurs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Premier League
30.10.22	Gudja United - Pietà Hotspurs	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	2:3 ✺
02.10.22	Gżira United - Pietà Hotspurs	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL
- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
30.10.22	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
17.10.22	Gudja United - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Marsaxlokk - Santa Lucia	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Marsaxlokk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
30.11.20	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsaxlokk	1:0

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