The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pisa 40.7%
Draw 30.8%
Perugia 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
29.2%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
31.3%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
38.5%
11.5%
Pisa - Perugia Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Perugia will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 30.8% โ 69.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Pisa has the most likely position - 4 (11.51%), has project points - 55, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Perugia has the most likely position - 14 (10.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality37, importance33, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Pisa will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Italy
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