Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pisa		Bologna

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.25	2
	4.15	3.25	1.98	Watch
	4.41	3.35	2.03
	4.27	3.39	1.93	Watch
	4	3.2	1.95
	4.34	3.41	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.88)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
22.9%

Draw
28.9%

Bologna
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.9%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Bologna aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	7.7%	87.2%

Pisa - Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bologna (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Pisa (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (68 of 78 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.76% – 94.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Bologna (votes: 25 - 92.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 26. Coppola F. 7. Leris M. 8. Hojholt M. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 17. Durosinmi R.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 17. Joao Mario 23. Sohm S. 8. Freuler R. (C) 6. Moro N. 10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 28. Cambiaghi N.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 39. Albiol R. 2. Bozhinov R. 5. Canestrelli S. 11. Cuadrado J. 19. Iling Junior S. 35. Loyola F. 31. Luppichini M. (G) 9. Meister H. 36. Piccinini G. 1. Semper A. (G) 23. Stengs C. 81. Stojilkovic F. 15. Toure I. 10. Tramoni M.	16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 19. Ferguson L. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 11. Rowe J.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Vitik M. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Freuler R. 🟨,
63', Angori S. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
63', Durosinmi R. ↓, Stojilkovic F. ↑,
63', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
64', Sohm S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
70', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
70', Calabresi A. ↓, Canestrelli S. ↑,
74', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
74', Joao Mario ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
82', Lucumi J. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Odgaard J. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
90', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).

Pisa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Scuffet S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Heggem T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lykogiannis C. (Hamstring Injury) Miranda J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Pisa - Milan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pisa - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Bologna - Brann	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Bologna - Udinese	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Bologna - Pisa	4:0
Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Pisa - Bologna	0:3

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