Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pisa		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.5	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.55
	3.05	3.05	2.52	Watch
	3.21	3.14	2.5
	3.16	3.16	2.41	Watch
	3	2.9	2.4
	3.12	3.12	2.67
	3.2	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
30.8%

Draw
31%

Sassuolo
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

31%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	47.6%	38.1%

Pisa - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sassuolo (1.71) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Scuffet S. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 2. Bozhinov R. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 10. Tramoni M. 9. Meister H.	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 90. Kone I. 18. Matic N. 42. Thorstvedt K. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 26. Coppola F. 17. Durosinmi R. 34. Guizzo T. (G) 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 35. Loyola F. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 23. Stengs C. 81. Stojilkovic F.	25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 19. Romagna F. 14. Skjellerup L. 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
42', Kone I. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Caracciolo Ant. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marin M. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
46', Meister H. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
46', Canestrelli S. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Aebischer M. ⚽, Durosinmi R. (A),
58', 1 - 3, Kone I. ⚽, Matic N. (A),
62', Bozhinov R. 🟨,
64', Tramoni M. 🟨,
69', Moreo S. ↓, Stojilkovic F. ↑,
73', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
73', Kone I. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
73', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
75', Toure I. 🟨,
79', Moro L. 🟨,
84', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
85', Angori S. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Sassuolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Calabresi A. (Yellow Cards) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Albiol R. (Injury) Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Meister H. (Knee Injury) Moreo S. (Inactive) Nzola M. (Inactive) Semper A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pisa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Pisa - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
06.01.26	Pisa - Como	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTLT
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.11.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	2:2
Italian Serie B
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0
26.12.24	Pisa - Sassuolo	3:1

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