Match Info

Serie A - Round 25

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Pisa		Milan

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.9	1.55	Watch
	6.4	3.95	1.58	Watch
	6.95	3.9	1.58
	6.87	3.97	1.58	Watch
	6	3.7	1.53
	6.44	4.02	1.6
	6.66	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.51 ↑ (5.84)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	1.56 (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pisa
14.7%

Draw
24.3%

Milan
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.7%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.3%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The chances for Milan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.1%	12.5%	84.4%

Pisa - Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Pisa (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Milan (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (80 of 95 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.88% – 91.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Milan (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 2. Bozhinov R. 15. Toure I. 35. Loyola F. 20. Aebischer M. 10. Tramoni M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 81. Stojilkovic F.	16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 24. Athekame Z. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 18. Nkunku C.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 11. Cuadrado J. 17. Durosinmi R. 34. Guizzo T. (G) 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 31. Luppichini M. (G) 9. Meister H. 36. Piccinini G. 23. Stengs C.	5. De Winter K. 2. Estupinan P. 9. Fullkrug N. 30. Jashari A. 10. Leao R. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 11. Pulisic C. 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Toure I. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Loftus-Cheek R. ⚽, Athekame Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Nkunku C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
56', Fullkrug N. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Aebischer M. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
57', Tramoni M. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Loyola F. ⚽,
71', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
72', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
77', Athekame Z. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Modric L. ⚽, Ricci S. (A),
86', Toure I. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
86', Moreo S. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
88', Bartesaghi D. 🟨,
90', Fullkrug N. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
90', Loyola F. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
90+1', Rabiot A. 🟨,
90+1', Rabiot A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Recent form of Pisa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Milan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Milan is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Pisa: Marin M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Albiol R. (Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Semper A. (Knee Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pisa - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
16.01.26	Pisa - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLLTT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2

Upcoming Matches