Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Bologna		Milan

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3.05	3.05	2.52	Watch
	3.11	3.2	2.58
	3.1	3.2	2.53	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45
	3.15	3.21	2.58
	3	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.49)	3.16 ↓ (3.49)	2.47 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bologna
30.9%

Draw
30.3%

Milan
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	19.5%	72.4%

Bologna - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 6%). Milan will win (votes: 62 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 20.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 64.4% – 83.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Bologna (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Milan (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Milan (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 53 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Milan (votes: 43 - 81.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 15.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 16. Casale N. 14. Heggem T. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.	16. Maignan M. (C) 5. De Winter K. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 24. Athekame Z. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 18. Nkunku C. 8. Loftus-Cheek R.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 5. Fauske Helland E. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 17. Joao Mario 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 23. Sohm S. 41. Vitik M.	2. Estupinan P. 9. Fullkrug N. 30. Jashari A. 10. Leao R. 27. Odogu D. 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Loftus-Cheek R. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Nkunku C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Rabiot A. ⚽,
51', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
53', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
54', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
58', Freuler R. 🟨,
64', Ferguson L. 🟨,
65', Freuler R. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
67', Athekame Z. ↓, Tomori F. ↑,
67', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
72', Nkunku C. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
72', Modric L. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
78', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
78', Miranda J. ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
83', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.

In recent matches, Bologna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Holm E. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Skorupski L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulisic C. (Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76% Bologna: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Genoa - Bologna	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Roma - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Milan - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Milan - Bologna	1:0
Coppa Italia
14.05.25	Milan - Bologna	0:1
Italian Serie A
09.05.25	Milan - Bologna	3:1
27.02.25	Bologna - Milan	2:1
27.01.24	Milan - Bologna	2:2
21.08.23	Bologna - Milan	0:2
15.04.23	Bologna - Milan	1:1

Upcoming Matches